Matchup Machine

      Anthony Santander

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      matchup for Chad Green

      277th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

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      Chad Green

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      matchup for A. Santander

      496th out of 564 (Worst 12%)

      Leans in favor of Green
      2

      Model Prediction

      Anthony Santander has a 26.3% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 6.2% lower than Santander's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Green.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Anthony Santander is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Santander has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Anthony Santander has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      72%
         Slider (R)
      14%
         Curve (R)
      11%

      Contact and Outcomes

      12.4% of Anthony Santander's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.7% lower than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -3.7% +9.3% 4%         Walk +1.1% -3.9% 39%         In Play +2.5% -5.4% 39%         On Base -2.6% -8.6% 31%         Hit -3.7% -4.7% 14%         Single -3.3% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -2.9% -2.9% 3%         Home Run +2.5% +0.3%

      History

      Anthony Santander has 4 plate appearances against Chad Green in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual430000010.000
      Expected From Contact →0.220.000.000.220.073
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-08-08Flyout100%
      2024-07-29Groundout19%81%
      2024-06-05Groundout2%97%
      2022-04-17Walk

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.