Matchup Machine

Anthony Santander

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matchup for Freddy Peralta

368th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Freddy Peralta

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matchup for A. Santander

437th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Santander
2

Model Prediction

Anthony Santander has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 2.8% lower than Santander's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Peralta.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.3%16.8%4.1%3.8%8.8%13.5%24.0%
Santander-2.8-5.0+0.1-0.8-4.3+2.2+1.8
Peralta+0.8-1.2+1.3-0.2-2.3+2.1-3.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Santander is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Santander has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Anthony Santander has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
53%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Anthony Santander's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% +8.8% 4%         Walk +1.3% +1.0% 39%         In Play +1.9% -9.8% 39%         On Base -2.5% -6.8% 31%         Hit -3.9% -7.8% 14%         Single -3.4% -3.9% 13%         2B / 3B -3.0% -3.6% 3%         Home Run +2.6% -0.3%

History

Anthony Santander has 6 plate appearances against Freddy Peralta in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6 with 4 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual660000400.000
Expected From Contact →0.230.000.150.080.038
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-12Strikeout
2024-04-12Flyout100%
2024-04-12Lineout15%8%77%
2023-06-06Strikeout
2023-06-06Strikeout
2023-06-06Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.