Matchup Machine

Anthony Santander

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matchup for Aaron Nola

334th out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for A. Santander

418th out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Moderate advantage for Santander
3

Model Prediction

Anthony Santander has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.9% lower than Santander's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%20.4%4.5%5.1%10.9%9.8%28.6%
Santander-2.9-1.3+0.5+0.5-2.2-1.6+6.4
Nola+0.7-1.9+1.5-1.2-2.3+2.7-2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Santander is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Santander has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Anthony Santander hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Anthony Santander's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% +6.3% 4%         Walk +1.3% -2.8% 39%         In Play +1.9% -3.5% 39%         On Base -2.5% -4.8% 31%         Hit -3.9% -2.0% 14%         Single -3.4% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -3.0% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +2.6% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years