Matchup Machine

Anthony Santander

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matchup for Austin Gomber

427th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for A. Santander

44th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Extreme advantage for Santander
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Model Prediction

Anthony Santander has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 2.1% higher than Santander's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.1%28.4%5.1%7.4%15.8%6.7%16.0%
Santander+2.1+6.7+1.1+2.8+2.7-4.6-6.2
Gomber+3.4+2.5+1.8+0.8-0.1+0.9-1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Santander is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Santander has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Anthony Santander has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Anthony Santander's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% -3.3% 4%         Walk +1.3% -2.5% 39%         In Play +1.9% +5.9% 39%         On Base -2.5% +0.6% 31%         Hit -3.9% +3.1% 14%         Single -3.4% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -3.0% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +2.6% +0.3%

History

Anthony Santander has 3 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010100.333
Expected From Contact →0.690.140.220.330.230
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-30Lineout1%33%66%
2024-08-30Strikeout
2024-08-30Double14%21%65%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.