Matchup Machine

Anthony Santander

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

407th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for A. Santander

20th out of 567 (Best 4%)

Extreme advantage for Santander
10

Model Prediction

Anthony Santander has a 40.5% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 7.5% higher than Santander's typical expectations, and 2.9% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction40.5%29.2%4.0%5.5%19.7%11.3%16.2%
Santander+7.5+7.50.0+0.9+6.60.0-6.0
Stroman+2.9+0.3+1.3-0.3-0.6+2.6-2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Santander is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Santander has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Anthony Santander has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.7% of Anthony Santander's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.3% -3.1% 4%         Walk +1.3% -0.8% 39%         In Play +1.9% +3.9% 39%         On Base -2.5% +3.0% 31%         Hit -3.9% +3.8% 14%         Single -3.4% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -3.0% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +2.6% -1.1%

History

Anthony Santander has 2 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →1.580.220.480.890.791
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-25Flyout22%47%30%
2024-09-25Single88%12%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.