Matchup Machine

Harold Ramirez

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matchup for C. Hernandez

120th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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Carlos Hernandez

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matchup for Harold Ramirez

192nd out of 567 (Best 35%)

Leans in favor of Ramirez
1

Model Prediction

Harold Ramirez has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 1.0% higher than Ramirez's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%25.7%1.7%5.2%18.7%5.4%19.9%
Ramirez+1.0+0.3+0.3+0.7-0.6+0.7-0.8
Hernandez-1.2+4.2-1.4-0.6+6.1-5.4-4.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Harold Ramirez is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ramirez has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Harold Ramirez has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Kn-Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.0% of Harold Ramirez's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.3% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.3% -1.8% 6%         Walk -5.0% +2.0% 36%         In Play +9.3% -0.2% 39%         On Base +5.1% +0.9% 31%         Hit +10.1% -1.1% 14%         Single +5.8% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +5.4% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.6%

History

Harold Ramirez has 2 plate appearances against Carlos Hernandez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual222002001.000
Expected From Contact →1.940.000.041.900.968
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-15Single4%90%7%
2022-08-20Single

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.