Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Tyler Heineman

matchup for Jared Jones

out of 436 (Worst %)

Jared Jones

matchup for Tyler Heineman

457th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Moderate advantage for Jones

Tyler Heineman has a 28.0% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.7% lower than Heineman's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.0%	20.1%	1.6%	4.7%	13.8%	7.9%	23.3%
Heineman	-1.7	-2.2	0.0	0.0	-2.1	+0.6	+5.0
Jones	-3.0	-0.7	-1.3	-0.3	+0.9	-2.3	-5.2

Tyler Heineman is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Heineman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Tyler Heineman has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Heineman hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Heineman hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

10.7% of Tyler Heineman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.7% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -9.7% +0.4% 5%

Walk +0.8% +0.6% 46%

In Play +8.9% -1.1% 39%

On Base +6.2% -0.1% 31%

Hit +5.4% -0.8% 14%

Single +3.6% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +4.0% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -2.1% +0.9%

18.8% of Tyler Heineman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 15.6% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +6.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -15.6% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -6.9% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +10.2% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +2.8% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.3% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.0% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +10.4% +2.5%

5.9% of Tyler Heineman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 18.4% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +14.4% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +5.4% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.8% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -18.4% +0.4%

20.8% of Tyler Heineman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 9.4% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%