Matchup Machine

Tyler Heineman

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matchup for Bryce Miller

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Tyler Heineman

455th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Moderate advantage for Miller
4

Model Prediction

Tyler Heineman has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 1.3% lower than Heineman's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.4%21.3%1.5%4.5%15.3%7.1%23.1%
Heineman-1.3-1.0-0.2-0.3-0.6-0.3+4.7
Miller-0.9+0.8-0.8+0.1+1.5-1.7-6.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Heineman is much worse vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Heineman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Tyler Heineman has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

10.7% of Tyler Heineman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.7% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -9.7% +0.2% 5%         Walk +0.8% -2.5% 46%         In Play +8.9% +2.3% 39%         On Base +6.2% -3.2% 31%         Hit +5.4% -0.7% 14%         Single +3.6% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.0% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -2.1% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years