Matchup Machine

Tyler Heineman

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matchup for Zach Eflin

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Zach Eflin

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matchup for Tyler Heineman

220th out of 567 (Best 40%)

Leans in favor of Heineman
0

Model Prediction

Tyler Heineman has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 0.6% higher than Heineman's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Eflin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%24.3%1.6%5.2%17.6%5.3%15.8%
Heineman+0.6+2.4+0.0+0.4+2.0-1.8-2.6
Eflin-1.5-0.2-1.5-0.6+2.0-1.3-5.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Heineman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Heineman has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Tyler Heineman hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
33%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Cutter (R)
16%
   Slider (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.8% of Tyler Heineman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -9.6% -0.2% 5%         Walk +0.9% -4.0% 46%         In Play +8.7% +4.1% 39%         On Base +6.1% -3.8% 31%         Hit +5.2% +0.2% 14%         Single +3.6% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +4.1% 0.0% 3%         Home Run -2.5% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years