Matchup Machine

Tyler Heineman

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matchup for Chris Sale

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Chris Sale

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matchup for Tyler Heineman

205th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Leans in favor of Heineman
2

Model Prediction

Tyler Heineman has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Chris Sale, which is 1.9% higher than Heineman's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Sale.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%25.3%1.5%6.5%17.4%6.3%23.5%
Heineman+1.9+3.0-0.1+1.7+1.5-1.1+5.1
Sale+2.1+3.1-0.5+0.6+2.9-1.0-8.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Heineman is much better vs left-handed pitching. Chris Sale is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Heineman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Sale throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Tyler Heineman hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
39%
   Slider (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

10.7% of Tyler Heineman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.7% lower than the league average. Chris Sale strikes out 23.2% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -9.7% +11.2% 5%         Walk +0.8% -2.1% 46%         In Play +8.9% -9.1% 39%         On Base +6.2% -4.6% 31%         Hit +5.4% -2.5% 14%         Single +3.6% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.0% -1.0% 3%         Home Run -2.1% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years