Matchup Machine

Jorge Mateo

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matchup for Daniel Palencia

57th out of 436 (Best 14%)

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Daniel Palencia

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matchup for Jorge Mateo

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Palencia
4

Model Prediction

Jorge Mateo has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 2.5% higher than Mateo's typical expectations, and 4.0% lower than batters facing Palencia.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%21.9%1.8%3.5%16.6%8.9%29.4%
Mateo+2.5-0.7-0.5-1.1+0.9+3.2+3.9
Palencia-4.0+2.5-0.6-0.3+3.3-6.4+2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jorge Mateo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Mateo has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Jorge Mateo has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
61%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.7% of Jorge Mateo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.1% +4.4% 5%         Walk -2.7% +3.4% 39%         In Play +2.6% -7.8% 39%         On Base -3.6% -0.7% 31%         Hit -0.9% -4.2% 14%         Single -0.1% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -0.6%

History

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