Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jorge Mateo

matchup for Jared Jones

36th out of 436 (Best 9%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Jorge Mateo

466th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Strong advantage for Jones

Jorge Mateo has a 26.5% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.9% lower than Mateo's typical expectations, and 4.6% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.5%	20.2%	2.4%	3.9%	13.9%	6.3%	32.8%
Mateo	-1.9	-2.4	+0.1	-0.8	-1.8	+0.6	+7.3
Jones	-4.6	-0.6	-0.5	-1.1	+1.1	-4.0	+4.2

Jorge Mateo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mateo has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jorge Mateo has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Mateo has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Mateo has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

14.7% of Jorge Mateo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.1% +0.4% 5%

Walk -2.7% +0.6% 39%

In Play +2.6% -1.1% 39%

On Base -3.6% -0.1% 31%

Hit -0.9% -0.8% 14%

Single -0.1% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.3% -0.5% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.9%

34.9% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.0% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.5% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.5% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +1.2% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.2% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.8% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.4% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +4.8% +2.5%

24.0% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.9% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.3% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.8% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.3% +0.4%

8.6% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%