Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jorge Mateo

matchup for Chase Silseth

52nd out of 436 (Best 13%)

Chase Silseth

matchup for Jorge Mateo

out of 564 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Silseth

Jorge Mateo has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Chase Silseth, which is 0.3% higher than Mateo's typical expectations, and 4.2% lower than batters facing Silseth.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.1%	20.7%	2.1%	3.8%	14.9%	7.3%	30.4%
Mateo	-0.3	-1.9	-0.3	-0.9	-0.8	+1.6	+4.9
Silseth	-4.2	+0.1	-0.7	-0.2	+1.0	-4.4	+2.1

Jorge Mateo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chase Silseth is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Mateo has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Chase Silseth throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jorge Mateo has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Slider (R)

24%

Splitter (R)

17%

Sinker (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

9% of Chase Silseth's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Mateo has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

35% of Chase Silseth's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Mateo has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 35%

+16%

Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Large Drop 14%

+9%

14.7% of Jorge Mateo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Chase Silseth strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.1% +5.2% 5%

Walk -2.7% +4.8% 39%

In Play +2.6% -10.0% 39%

On Base -3.6% -0.6% 31%

Hit -0.9% -5.4% 14%

Single -0.1% -3.2% 13%

2B / 3B +0.3% -2.8% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.5%

34.9% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Chase Silseth induces Standard Grounders at a 35.7% rate, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.0% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.5% +1.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.5% -0.5% 14%

Low Screamer +1.2% -2.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.2% -0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.8% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% +3.6% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% -1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.4% +1.3% 3%

Pop up +4.8% -0.8%

24.0% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 29.9% of batted balls allowed by Chase Silseth are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.9% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -5.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.3% +4.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.8% -4.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.3% +5.6%

8.6% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Chase Silseth are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.3% -1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.4% +0.9% 8%

1 to 6° +0.0% -2.4% 18%

7 to 18° -1.5% +6.1% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° -2.8% +1.4% 7%

39 to 50° -0.3% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +3.6% -3.8%

Jorge Mateo has 4 plate appearances against Chase Silseth in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 4 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.41	0.00	0.03	1.39			0.353

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-16	Single			42%	58%
2023-05-16	Strikeout
2022-07-07	Single		2%	89%	9%
2022-07-07	Forceout			8%	92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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