Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jorge Mateo

matchup for Kutter Crawford

40th out of 436 (Best 10%)

Kutter Crawford

matchup for Jorge Mateo

486th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Strong advantage for Crawford

Jorge Mateo has a 24.2% chance of reaching base vs Kutter Crawford, which is 4.2% lower than Mateo's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Crawford.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	24.2%	19.2%	2.1%	4.2%	12.9%	5.0%	26.2%
Mateo	-4.2	-3.4	-0.2	-0.5	-2.8	-0.7	+0.7
Crawford	-3.8	-1.0	-0.7	-0.5	+0.3	-2.8	+1.8

Jorge Mateo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Kutter Crawford is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mateo has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Kutter Crawford throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Jorge Mateo has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Cutter (R)

31%

Slider (R)

14%

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

13% of Kutter Crawford's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Mateo has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

68% of Kutter Crawford's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Mateo has a D- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 68%

+14%

Small Break 24%

+13%

Extreme Ride 15%

+11%

Medium Slow Velo 24%

+10%

14.7% of Jorge Mateo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Kutter Crawford strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.1% +0.8% 5%

Walk -2.7% -0.9% 39%

In Play +2.6% +0.1% 39%

On Base -3.6% -4.5% 31%

Hit -0.9% -3.6% 14%

Single -0.1% -2.9% 13%

2B / 3B +0.3% -2.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +1.7%

34.9% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Kutter Crawford induces Standard Grounders at a 28.8% rate, which is 5.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.0% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.5% -5.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.5% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer +1.2% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.2% -3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.8% +1.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.4% +3.4% 3%

Pop up +4.8% +2.6%

24.0% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 24.2% of batted balls allowed by Kutter Crawford are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.9% -0.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% +6.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.3% -4.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.8% -2.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.3% -0.1%

8.6% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 14.1% of batted balls allowed by Kutter Crawford are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.3% -2.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.4% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° +0.0% -1.9% 18%

7 to 18° -1.5% -2.7% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° -2.8% +2.6% 7%

39 to 50° -0.3% +2.4% 8%

Above 50° +3.6% +3.7%

Jorge Mateo has 5 plate appearances against Kutter Crawford in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a home run, a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	0.250
Expected From Contact →			1.33	0.94	0.26	0.13			0.332

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-29	Flyout		1%	2%	96%
2024-05-29	Walk
2024-05-29	Flyout		21%	1%	77%
2022-08-19	Lineout		3%	9%	88%
2022-08-19	Home Run	93%	1%		6%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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