matchup for Andrew Abbott
matchup for Jorge Mateo
3
Jorge Mateo has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Abbott, which is 1.9% higher than Mateo's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Abbott.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.2% | 23.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 14.7% | 6.8% | 22.2% |
| Mateo | +1.9 | +0.8 | +1.1 | +0.7 | -1.0 | +1.0 | -3.3 |
| Abbott | -1.8 | +1.9 | +0.1 | +0.0 | +1.7 | -3.7 | +0.1 |
Jorge Mateo is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Andrew Abbott is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Mateo has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Andrew Abbott throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Jorge Mateo has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
52%
Slider (L)
18%
Changeup (L)
16%
Curve (L)
14%
8% of Andrew Abbott's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Mateo has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
8%
+2%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Likely Ball
20%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Chaser
4%
-1%
Weak Challenge
7%
-2%
40% of Andrew Abbott's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Mateo has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Fast Velo
40%
+24%
Medium Break
37%
+18%
Medium Ride
32%
+18%
14.7% of Jorge Mateo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Andrew Abbott strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+0.1%
-1.7%
5%
Walk
-2.7%
+0.9%
39%
In Play
+2.6%
+0.8%
39%
On Base
-3.6%
-1.6%
31%
Hit
-0.9%
-2.4%
14%
Single
-0.1%
-1.5%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.3%
-1.1%
3%
Home Run
-1.0%
+0.2%
34.8% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Andrew Abbott induces Standard Grounders at a 27.8% rate, which is 6.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+2.0%
-0.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.4%
-6.6%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.4%
-2.9%
14%
Low Screamer
+1.2%
-2.2%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.2%
-2.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.8%
+2.2%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.7%
+1.6%
1%
No Doubter
+0.1%
-0.9%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.4%
+6.9%
3%
Pop up
+4.8%
+4.8%
24.0% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 20.5% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Abbott are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+5.8%
+0.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+1.4%
-1.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.2%
+1.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-4.7%
+3.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-0.3%
-3.8%
8.6% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. 9.4% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Abbott are hit at this angle, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.2%
-7.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
+2.4%
-3.4%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.1%
+1.0%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.5%
-5.0%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.6%
+6.0%
11%
29 to 38°
-2.9%
-2.1%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.3%
+3.1%
8%
Above 50°
+3.6%
+7.8%
Jorge Mateo has 4 plate appearances against Andrew Abbott in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a home run and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.07 | 0.81 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.267 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-05-04 | Home Run | 81% | 4% | 15% | |
| 2024-05-04 | Groundout | 5% | 9% | 87% | |
| 2023-06-27 | Flyout | 1% | 99% | ||
| 2023-06-27 | Pop Out | 2% | 5% | 93% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
