Matchup Machine

Jorge Mateo

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matchup for Jake Irvin

59th out of 436 (Best 14%)

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Jake Irvin

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matchup for Jorge Mateo

140th out of 567 (Best 26%)

Leans in favor of Mateo
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Model Prediction

Jorge Mateo has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Jake Irvin, which is 2.3% higher than Mateo's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Irvin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%25.0%2.4%5.0%17.6%5.7%22.1%
Mateo+2.3+2.3+0.1+0.3+1.90.0-3.4
Irvin-3.3+0.5-0.7-0.5+1.7-3.8+2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jorge Mateo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jake Irvin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Mateo has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jake Irvin throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Jorge Mateo has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
36%
   Curve (R)
31%
   Sinker (R)
26%

Contact and Outcomes

14.7% of Jorge Mateo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Jake Irvin strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.1% -4.3% 5%         Walk -2.7% -0.5% 39%         In Play +2.6% +4.8% 39%         On Base -3.6% +1.3% 31%         Hit -0.9% +1.9% 14%         Single -0.1% +0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% +0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years