Matchup Machine

Jorge Mateo

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

49th out of 436 (Best 12%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Jorge Mateo

171st out of 567 (Best 31%)

Leans in favor of Mateo
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Model Prediction

Jorge Mateo has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 1.7% higher than Mateo's typical expectations, and 4.1% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%23.5%2.9%4.7%15.9%6.6%25.0%
Mateo+1.7+0.8+0.6+0.0+0.2+0.9-0.5
Flaherty-4.1+0.2-0.7-0.5+1.4-4.4+2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jorge Mateo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Mateo has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jorge Mateo has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

14.7% of Jorge Mateo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.1% +5.8% 5%         Walk -2.7% -1.5% 39%         In Play +2.6% -4.3% 39%         On Base -3.6% -2.0% 31%         Hit -0.9% -0.5% 14%         Single -0.1% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.3% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years