Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jorge Mateo

matchup for Shelby Miller

44th out of 436 (Best 11%)

Shelby Miller

matchup for Jorge Mateo

407th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Strong advantage for Miller

Jorge Mateo has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 2.9% lower than Mateo's typical expectations, and 3.8% lower than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.5%	20.2%	2.9%	4.1%	13.1%	5.3%	26.5%
Mateo	-2.9	-2.5	+0.6	-0.5	-2.5	-0.4	+1.0
Miller	-3.8	-0.9	-0.8	-0.9	+0.7	-2.8	+1.8

Jorge Mateo is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Mateo has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Jorge Mateo has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

11%

Curve (R)

10%

Splitter (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Mateo has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

27% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Jorge Mateo has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 27%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

14.7% of Jorge Mateo's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +0.1% +0.3% 5%

Walk -2.7% +0.8% 39%

In Play +2.6% -1.1% 39%

On Base -3.6% -4.9% 31%

Hit -0.9% -5.7% 14%

Single -0.1% -3.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.3% -2.8% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.3%

34.9% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Shelby Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.0% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.5% -0.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.5% 0.0% 14%

Low Screamer +1.2% -2.8% 9%

Rising Liner -1.2% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.8% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -0.7% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.4% +3.5% 3%

Pop up +4.8% +1.2%

24.0% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.9% -4.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -1.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.3% +2.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.8% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.3% +1.2%

8.6% of Jorge Mateo's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%