Matchup Machine

Manuel Margot

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matchup for Jared Jones

215th out of 436 (Best 50%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Manuel Margot

410th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Leans in favor of Jones
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Model Prediction

Manuel Margot has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.9% lower than Margot's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%23.0%1.8%5.2%16.0%7.2%22.2%
Margot-0.9-1.8+0.2-0.3-1.8+1.0+5.0
Jones-0.9+2.2-1.2+0.2+3.2-3.0-6.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Manuel Margot is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Margot has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Manuel Margot has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

9.7% of Manuel Margot's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.2% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.2% +0.4% 6%         Walk -3.1% +0.6% 35%         In Play +11.4% -1.1% 39%         On Base +4.3% -0.1% 31%         Hit +7.4% -0.8% 14%         Single +4.4% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +4.6% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.6% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years