Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Manuel Margot

matchup for Aaron Nola

295th out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Manuel Margot

340th out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Leans in favor of Margot

Manuel Margot has a 29.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.3% lower than Margot's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.8%	25.0%	1.9%	7.1%	16.0%	4.8%	22.4%
Margot	-1.3	+0.2	+0.4	+1.6	-1.8	-1.5	+5.2
Nola	+0.3	+2.6	-1.1	+0.9	+2.8	-2.3	-8.5

Manuel Margot is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Margot has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Manuel Margot has a B grade against right-handed Kn-Curves

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Manuel Margot has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Manuel Margot has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

9.7% of Manuel Margot's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.2% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -8.2% +6.3% 6%

Walk -3.1% -2.8% 35%

In Play +11.4% -3.5% 39%

On Base +4.3% -4.8% 31%

Hit +7.4% -2.0% 14%

Single +4.4% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +4.6% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -1.6% -0.5%

36.0% of Manuel Margot's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +1.6% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +3.4% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.7% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.6% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.0% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.6% -0.4% 3%

Pop up +0.0% -0.7%

26.0% of Manuel Margot's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.7% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.9% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.8% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.4% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +1.7% -0.7%

8.0% of Manuel Margot's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.5% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%