Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Olson

matchup for Jared Jones

295th out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Matt Olson

410th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Leans in favor of Olson

Matt Olson has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.1% higher than Olson's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.9%	18.7%	3.9%	4.2%	10.7%	13.2%	30.6%
Olson	-0.1	-1.6	+0.1	-0.8	-0.9	+1.5	+7.0
Jones	+0.9	-2.1	+0.9	-0.8	-2.2	+3.0	+2.0

Matt Olson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Olson has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Matt Olson has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

13.1% of Matt Olson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% +0.4% 3%

Walk +3.1% +0.6% 40%

In Play -0.6% -1.1% 39%

On Base +1.3% -0.1% 31%

Hit -1.8% -0.8% 14%

Single -2.2% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.7% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +2.2% +0.9%

26.4% of Matt Olson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.1% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +2.0% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +3.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.8% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +2.5%

36.9% of Matt Olson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.6% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.0% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.2% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.3% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +12.6% +0.4%

13.2% of Matt Olson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%