Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Olson

matchup for Reese Olson

334th out of 436 (Worst 24%)

Reese Olson

matchup for Matt Olson

366th out of 564 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Olson

Matt Olson has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Reese Olson, which is 0.0% higher than Olson's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Olson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	19.7%	3.0%	4.9%	11.8%	12.3%	23.8%
Olson	0.0	-0.6	-0.8	-0.1	+0.3	+0.6	+0.2
Olson	+0.9	-2.5	+0.7	+0.0	-3.3	+3.4	-0.1

Matt Olson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Reese Olson is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Olson has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Reese Olson throws a Slider 29% of the time. Matt Olson has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

29%

4-Seam (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

19%

Changeup (R)

19%

Curve (R)

21% of Reese Olson's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-2%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

33% of Reese Olson's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 33%

+17%

Medium Drop 30%

+17%

Large Break 33%

+12%

13.1% of Matt Olson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Reese Olson strikes out 14.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% -0.3% 3%

Walk +3.1% -2.0% 40%

In Play -0.6% +2.3% 39%

On Base +1.3% -0.5% 31%

Hit -1.8% +1.5% 14%

Single -2.2% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -1.7% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +2.2% -0.5%

26.4% of Matt Olson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Reese Olson induces Standard Grounders at a 39.2% rate, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% +4.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% -0.3% 14%

Low Screamer -2.1% -1.8% 9%

Rising Liner +2.0% +1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% -2.0% 3%

Likely Homer +3.5% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.8% -3.4% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +1.1%

36.9% of Matt Olson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.6% higher than the league average. 27.5% of batted balls allowed by Reese Olson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.0% -3.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.2% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.3% +0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +12.6% +3.2%

13.2% of Matt Olson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. 6.9% of batted balls allowed by Reese Olson are hit at this angle, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.2% +2.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.7% +3.0% 8%

1 to 6° -1.2% +0.4% 18%

7 to 18° +0.0% +0.8% 15%

19 to 28° -1.6% -0.6% 11%

29 to 38° +1.8% -4.5% 7%

39 to 50° +1.6% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° +4.2% -0.2%

Matt Olson has 5 plate appearances against Reese Olson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.03	0.00	0.02	0.01			0.007

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-17	Pop Out		1%		98%
2024-06-17	Flyout				99%
2024-06-17	Strikeout
2023-06-14	Strikeout
2023-06-14	Flyout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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