Matchup Machine

Matt Olson

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matchup for Andrew Wantz

272nd out of 436 (Worst 38%)

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Andrew Wantz

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matchup for Matt Olson

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Olson
4

Model Prediction

Matt Olson has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Wantz, which is 0.3% higher than Olson's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Wantz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.8%18.1%3.9%4.2%10.0%13.7%24.6%
Olson-0.3-2.3+0.1-0.8-1.6+2.0+1.0
Wantz-0.1-2.2+0.6-0.2-2.6+2.2-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Olson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Andrew Wantz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Olson has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Wantz throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Matt Olson has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.1% of Matt Olson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Andrew Wantz strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.5% +7.5% 3%         Walk +3.1% +2.0% 40%         In Play -0.6% -9.5% 39%         On Base +1.3% -6.5% 31%         Hit -1.8% -8.5% 14%         Single -2.2% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% -3.9% 3%         Home Run +2.2% -0.3%

History

Matt Olson has 1 plate appearance against Andrew Wantz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-07-24Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.