Matchup Machine

Matt Olson

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matchup for S. Woods Rich.

328th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Simeon Woods Rich.

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matchup for Matt Olson

124th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Strong advantage for Olson
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Model Prediction

Matt Olson has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 1.6% higher than Olson's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Woods Rich..

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.7%21.4%4.8%4.7%11.9%12.3%20.9%
Olson+1.6+1.0+1.0-0.3+0.4+0.6-2.6
Woods Rich.-0.4-3.1+1.4-0.4-4.1+2.7-0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Olson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Olson has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Matt Olson has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.1% of Matt Olson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.5% -3.3% 3%         Walk +3.1% +1.1% 40%         In Play -0.6% +2.2% 39%         On Base +1.3% +4.2% 31%         Hit -1.8% +3.1% 14%         Single -2.2% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% +1.3% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +1.0%

History

Matt Olson has 2 plate appearances against Simeon Woods Rich. in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010000.500
Expected From Contact →0.530.150.370.020.267
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-27Double15%36%2%47%
2024-08-27Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.