Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Olson

matchup for G. Cleavinger

408th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

Garrett Cleavinger

matchup for Matt Olson

149th out of 564 (Best 27%)

Strong advantage for Olson

Matt Olson has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Cleavinger, which is 3.0% higher than Olson's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Cleavinger.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.1%	21.0%	4.1%	4.8%	12.1%	14.1%	23.4%
Olson	+3.0	+0.6	+0.3	-0.2	+0.5	+2.4	-0.2
Cleavinger	+2.2	-0.6	+1.6	+0.4	-2.5	+2.8	-1.8

Matt Olson is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Cleavinger is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Olson has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Garrett Cleavinger throws a Slider 41% of the time. Matt Olson has an A- grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (L)

41%

4-Seam (L)

32%

Cutter (L)

13%

Sinker (L)

12%

14% of Garrett Cleavinger's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Meatball 2%

-4%

21% of Garrett Cleavinger's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 21%

+17%

Breaking (L) 42%

+12%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

Medium Break 18%

+10%

13.1% of Matt Olson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% +4.2% 3%

Walk +3.1% +3.9% 40%

In Play -0.6% -8.1% 39%

On Base +1.3% +3.2% 31%

Hit -1.8% -0.7% 14%

Single -2.2% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.7% -0.4% 3%

Home Run +2.2% +0.3%

26.4% of Matt Olson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger induces Standard Grounders at a 37.6% rate, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% +3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer -2.1% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner +2.0% -2.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% +1.2% 3%

Likely Homer +3.5% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.8% +1.3% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +1.0%

36.9% of Matt Olson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.6% higher than the league average. 20.6% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Cleavinger are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.0% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.2% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -3.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.3% +3.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +12.6% -3.7%

13.2% of Matt Olson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Cleavinger are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.2% +1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.7% +2.2% 8%

1 to 6° -1.2% -2.3% 18%

7 to 18° +0.0% -3.7% 15%

19 to 28° -1.6% +1.8% 11%

29 to 38° +1.8% +1.3% 7%

39 to 50° +1.6% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +4.2% -0.8%

Matt Olson has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Cleavinger in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.87	0.00	0.01	0.86			0.865

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-15	Single			86%	13%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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