Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Olson

matchup for David Peterson

409th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

David Peterson

matchup for Matt Olson

129th out of 567 (Best 24%)

Strong advantage for Olson

Matt Olson has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs David Peterson, which is 3.2% higher than Olson's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Peterson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.2%	22.3%	3.4%	5.7%	13.3%	12.9%	21.0%
Olson	+3.2	+2.0	-0.4	+0.7	+1.7	+1.2	-2.6
Peterson	+2.3	-0.6	+1.1	+0.7	-2.4	+2.9	-0.9

Matt Olson is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. David Peterson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Olson has a B grade vs this particular release point.

David Peterson throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Matt Olson has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

30%

Sinker (L)

24%

Slider (L)

23%

Changeup (L)

17%

Curve (L)

11% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

26% of David Peterson's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 26%

+11%

Low Ride 34%

+11%

Slow Velo 23%

+10%

13.1% of Matt Olson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. David Peterson strikes out 16.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.5% +0.1% 3%

Walk +3.1% +1.3% 40%

In Play -0.6% -1.3% 39%

On Base +1.3% +2.1% 31%

Hit -1.8% +0.8% 14%

Single -2.2% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -1.7% +1.1% 3%

Home Run +2.2% -1.0%

26.4% of Matt Olson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. David Peterson induces Standard Grounders at a 40.7% rate, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% +6.3% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.4% -0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.1% -2.0% 9%

Rising Liner +2.0% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% -2.2% 3%

Likely Homer +3.5% -0.3% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% +1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.8% -3.8% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +1.0%

36.9% of Matt Olson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.6% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by David Peterson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.0% +1.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.2% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.0% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.3% -4.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +12.6% +3.6%

13.2% of Matt Olson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. 5.3% of batted balls allowed by David Peterson are hit at this angle, which is 6.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.2% +5.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.7% +1.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.2% -2.0% 18%

7 to 18° +0.0% +2.7% 15%

19 to 28° -1.6% -2.1% 11%

29 to 38° +1.8% -6.2% 7%

39 to 50° +1.6% -1.8% 8%

Above 50° +4.2% +1.9%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	19	16	4	4	0	0	8	3	0.250
Expected From Contact →			4.37	3.66	0.28	0.42			0.273

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-28	Strikeout
2024-07-28	Home Run	100%
2024-07-28	Strikeout
2023-08-21	Strikeout
2023-08-21	Strikeout
2023-08-21	Walk
2023-04-28	Home Run	99%
2023-04-28	Strikeout
2023-04-28	Groundout			26%	74%
2022-10-01	Strikeout
2022-08-06	Strikeout
2022-08-06	Walk
2022-08-06	Lineout		3%	6%	91%
2022-07-12	Flyout				100%
2022-07-12	Home Run	94%	4%		3%
2022-07-12	Strikeout
2022-05-03	Walk
2022-05-03	Groundout			11%	89%
2022-05-03	Home Run	74%	21%		5%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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