Matchup Machine

Matt Olson

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matchup for Jake Latz

361st out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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Jake Latz

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matchup for Matt Olson

122nd out of 567 (Best 22%)

Strong advantage for Olson
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Model Prediction

Matt Olson has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 3.3% higher than Olson's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Latz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.3%19.4%3.8%4.9%10.7%16.0%20.6%
Olson+3.3-1.00.0-0.1-0.9+4.3-2.9
Latz+0.9-1.5+1.10.0-2.5+2.4-2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Olson is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Olson has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Matt Olson has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
50%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Curve (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

13.1% of Matt Olson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.5% -1.3% 3%         Walk +3.1% +6.7% 40%         In Play -0.6% -5.5% 39%         On Base +1.3% +1.7% 31%         Hit -1.8% -5.1% 14%         Single -2.2% -3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% -3.0% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +1.4%

History

Matt Olson has 1 plate appearance against Jake Latz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-19Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.