Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Olson

matchup for Michael King

166th out of 436 (Best 39%)

Michael King

matchup for Matt Olson

508th out of 567 (Worst 11%)

Moderate advantage for King

Matt Olson has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Michael King, which is 2.7% lower than Olson's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing King.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	17.5%	3.1%	3.7%	10.7%	11.7%	32.5%
Olson	-2.7	-3.1	-0.4	-1.3	-1.4	+0.4	+7.5
King	-1.5	-3.4	+0.6	-0.6	-3.4	+1.9	+3.5

Matt Olson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael King is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Olson has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Michael King throws a Sinker 37% of the time. Matt Olson has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

37%

Slider (R)

20%

4-Seam (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

18%

Curve (R)

7% of Michael King's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Likely Ball 19%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-3%

48% of Michael King's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 48%

+33%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

13.4% of Matt Olson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Michael King strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.0% +4.7% 3%

Walk +3.1% +0.1% 40%

In Play -1.1% -4.8% 39%

On Base +1.4% -2.2% 31%

Hit -1.7% -2.3% 14%

Single -1.8% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.7% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +1.7% -0.4%

26.3% of Matt Olson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Michael King induces Standard Grounders at a 36.8% rate, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% +2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.5% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +2.1% 9%

Rising Liner +2.0% -1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +3.4% +1.5% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.7% -3.0% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -0.7%

36.9% of Matt Olson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.6% higher than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Michael King are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.9% +2.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.1% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.2% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.4% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +12.6% -1.4%

13.1% of Matt Olson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.7% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by Michael King are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.2% +0.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.7% -1.5% 8%

1 to 6° -1.1% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° +0.1% +0.1% 15%

19 to 28° -1.6% +0.7% 11%

29 to 38° +1.7% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° +1.6% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +4.2% +0.6%

Matt Olson has 6 plate appearances against Michael King in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	0.200
Expected From Contact →			0.88	0.00	0.08	0.80			0.175

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Flyout
2025-03-27	Walk
2024-10-01	Single		2%	79%	20%
2024-10-01	Strikeout
2024-10-01	Flyout		5%		95%
2023-08-16	Flyout			1%	98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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