Matchup Machine

Matt Olson

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matchup for Ranger Suarez

359th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Ranger Suarez

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matchup for Matt Olson

133rd out of 567 (Best 24%)

Strong advantage for Olson
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Model Prediction

Matt Olson has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 2.4% higher than Olson's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Suarez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.5%23.6%3.6%6.5%13.4%10.9%22.8%
Olson+2.4+3.2-0.2+1.5+1.9-0.8-0.8
Suarez+0.4-1.2+1.2+0.8-3.2+1.6-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Olson is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Olson has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Matt Olson has a B+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Curve (L)
12%
   Cutter (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

13.1% of Matt Olson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.5% +0.1% 3%         Walk +3.1% -1.2% 40%         In Play -0.6% +1.1% 39%         On Base +1.3% +1.9% 31%         Hit -1.8% +3.1% 14%         Single -2.2% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B -1.7% +2.2% 3%         Home Run +2.2% -0.9%

History

Matt Olson has 29 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 7 for 25 with 2 doubles and 4 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual29257025640.280
Expected From Contact →6.120.302.393.430.245
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-30Single1%76%22%
2024-08-30Strikeout
2024-07-06Strikeout
2024-07-06Walk
2024-07-06Hit By Pitch
2024-03-31Strikeout
2024-03-31Strikeout
2023-10-12Single40%56%4%
2023-10-12Pop Out100%
2023-10-07Single2%41%57%
2023-10-07Flyout2%97%
2023-06-20Forceout19%81%
2023-06-20Strikeout
2023-06-20Flyout99%
2022-10-11Single13%52%35%
2022-10-11Walk
2022-09-22Walk
2022-09-22Single29%60%11%
2022-09-22Groundout12%88%
2022-09-16Pop Out100%
2022-09-16Groundout8%92%
2022-09-16Flyout4%5%4%88%
2022-07-25Groundout1%98%
2022-07-25Strikeout
2022-06-29Double25%67%2%6%
2022-06-29Double1%80%6%12%
2022-06-29Pop Out1%98%
2022-05-25Walk
2022-05-25Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.