matchup for Miles Mikolas
matchup for Matt Olson
3
Matt Olson has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 3.7% lower than Olson's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Mikolas.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 28.5% | 23.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 20.0% |
| Olson | -3.7 | +3.1 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +2.5 | -6.8 | -3.9 |
| Mikolas | -2.6 | -3.6 | +0.9 | -0.9 | -3.5 | +1.0 | -0.1 |
Matt Olson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Olson has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Matt Olson has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
27%
Slider (R)
26%
Sinker (R)
24%
Curve (R)
18%
Changeup (R)
6%
13% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
13%
+5%
Edge Painter
19%
+2%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Non-Competitive
9%
-4%
28% of Miles Mikolas's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Matt Olson has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Fast Velo
28%
+13%
Extreme Drop
18%
+13%
Breaking (R)
44%
+13%
13.1% of Matt Olson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
15%
Strikeout
-2.5%
-3.3%
3%
Walk
+3.1%
-3.9%
40%
In Play
-0.6%
+7.2%
39%
On Base
+1.3%
-0.6%
31%
Hit
-1.8%
+3.3%
14%
Single
-2.2%
+1.5%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.7%
+1.8%
3%
Home Run
+2.2%
+0.0%
26.4% of Matt Olson's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas induces Standard Grounders at a 38.7% rate, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.2%
-0.5%
34%
Standard Grounder
-8.1%
+4.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.4%
+1.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.1%
-1.7%
9%
Rising Liner
+2.0%
+0.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.4%
+0.6%
3%
Likely Homer
+3.5%
-0.5%
1%
No Doubter
+1.6%
-0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.8%
-3.7%
3%
Pop up
+0.8%
-0.2%
36.9% of Matt Olson's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.6% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-5.0%
-0.9%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-4.2%
+0.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.0%
-1.5%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.3%
+0.7%
24%
Above 100 mph
+12.6%
+1.1%
13.2% of Matt Olson's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Miles Mikolas are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-2.2%
+0.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.7%
+1.8%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.2%
+1.4%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.0%
+1.9%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.6%
+0.4%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.8%
-2.3%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.6%
-1.5%
8%
Above 50°
+4.2%
-2.1%
Matt Olson has 12 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 12 with 2 home runs and 2 doubles and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 12 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
| Expected From Contact → | 4.59 | 1.59 | 1.25 | 1.76 | 0.383 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-07-21 | Flyout | 99% | |||
| 2024-07-21 | GIDP | 71% | 28% | ||
| 2024-07-21 | GIDP | 9% | 2% | 89% | |
| 2023-09-05 | Home Run | 91% | 2% | 7% | |
| 2023-09-05 | Flyout | 2% | 98% | ||
| 2023-09-05 | Groundout | 4% | 95% | ||
| 2023-04-05 | Double | 5% | 83% | 11% | |
| 2023-04-05 | Double | 19% | 64% | 16% | |
| 2023-04-05 | Home Run | 62% | 3% | 34% | |
| 2022-07-06 | Groundout | 25% | 75% | ||
| 2022-07-06 | Lineout | 4% | 7% | 88% | |
| 2022-07-06 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
