Matchup Machine

      Patrick Wisdom

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      matchup for Aaron Nola

      27th out of 436 (Best 7%)

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      Aaron Nola

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      matchup for Patrick Wisdom

      438th out of 564 (Worst 23%)

      Strong advantage for Nola
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      Model Prediction

      Patrick Wisdom has a 25.1% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.9% lower than Wisdom's typical expectations, and 4.4% lower than batters facing Nola.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Patrick Wisdom is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Wisdom has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Patrick Wisdom hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
      30%
         4-Seam (R)
      30%
         Sinker (R)
      20%
         Changeup (R)
      12%
         Cutter (R)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      21.9% of Patrick Wisdom's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.3% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 9%         Strikeout +12.3% +6.3% 4%         Walk -0.4% -2.8% 44%         In Play -11.9% -3.5% 39%         On Base -9.7% -4.8% 31%         Hit -9.3% -2.0% 14%         Single -6.7% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -6.3% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +3.6% -0.5%

      History

      Patrick Wisdom has 6 plate appearances against Aaron Nola in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with 4 strikeouts.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual661001400.167
      Expected From Contact →0.360.000.080.280.060
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-05-20Forceout9%90%
      2023-05-20Strikeout
      2023-05-20Strikeout
      2022-09-28Strikeout
      2022-09-28Single8%19%73%
      2022-09-28Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.