Matchup Machine

Patrick Wisdom

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matchup for Miles Mikolas

23rd out of 436 (Best 6%)

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Miles Mikolas

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matchup for Patrick Wisdom

180th out of 567 (Best 33%)

Leans in favor of Mikolas
2

Model Prediction

Patrick Wisdom has a 27.0% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 0.9% lower than Wisdom's typical expectations, and 5.1% lower than batters facing Mikolas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.0%22.9%3.8%6.7%12.4%4.1%32.0%
Wisdom-0.9+5.4+0.5+2.3+2.6-6.3-4.6
Mikolas-5.1-5.2+0.5+0.1-5.8+0.0+11.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Patrick Wisdom is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Wisdom has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Patrick Wisdom has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
27%
   Slider (R)
26%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

21.9% of Patrick Wisdom's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.3% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 9%         Strikeout +12.3% -3.3% 4%         Walk -0.4% -3.9% 44%         In Play -11.9% +7.2% 39%         On Base -9.7% -0.6% 31%         Hit -9.3% +3.3% 14%         Single -6.7% +1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -6.3% +1.8% 3%         Home Run +3.6% +0.0%

History

Patrick Wisdom has 16 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 14 with a home run, 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual16143102720.214
Expected From Contact →3.661.200.162.300.261
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-25Lineout6%93%
2024-05-25Strikeout
2023-05-08Single1%92%7%
2023-05-08Walk
2022-08-24Strikeout
2022-08-24Groundout30%69%
2022-08-24Walk
2022-08-04Strikeout
2022-08-04Forceout15%85%
2022-08-04Sac Fly26%8%66%
2022-06-25Strikeout
2022-06-25Single86%13%
2022-06-25Strikeout
2022-06-03Strikeout
2022-06-03Strikeout
2022-06-03Home Run93%6%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.