Matchup Machine

Tomas Nido

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matchup for Zack Littell

229th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Zack Littell

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matchup for Tomas Nido

293rd out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Moderate advantage for Littell
3

Model Prediction

Tomas Nido has a 26.5% chance of reaching base vs Zack Littell, which is 1.7% lower than Nido's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Littell.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.5%23.3%2.5%7.3%13.5%3.1%24.8%
Nido-1.7-0.5-0.1+1.5-2.0-1.2-3.5
Littell-1.0+1.6-0.3+2.0-0.1-2.6+1.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Tomas Nido is better vs right-handed pitching. Zack Littell is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Nido has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zack Littell throws a Slider 38% of the time. Tomas Nido has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
38%
   4-Seam (R)
37%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

15.9% of Tomas Nido's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Zack Littell strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.2% -0.6% 6%         Walk -3.8% -3.4% 39%         In Play +1.6% +4.0% 39%         On Base -3.9% -1.9% 31%         Hit -0.1% +1.5% 14%         Single -0.2% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.2% +0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.1% +0.6%

History

Tomas Nido has 3 plate appearances against Zack Littell in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.380.000.240.140.126
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-04Lineout23%8%69%
2024-05-04Groundout5%95%
2022-04-19Lineout2%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.