Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Tomas Nido

matchup for Seth Lugo

121st out of 436 (Best 29%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Tomas Nido

220th out of 567 (Best 40%)

Leans in favor of Lugo

Tomas Nido has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.0% higher than Nido's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	25.6%	3.2%	5.8%	16.7%	3.5%	29.0%
Nido	+1.0	+1.7	+0.5	0.0	+1.2	-0.8	+0.8
Lugo	-3.3	+1.7	+0.0	+0.8	+0.8	-5.0	+4.2

Tomas Nido is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Nido has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Tomas Nido has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Tomas Nido has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Tomas Nido hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

15.9% of Tomas Nido's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.2% +0.8% 6%

Walk -3.8% -2.3% 39%

In Play +1.6% +1.4% 39%

On Base -3.9% -0.4% 31%

Hit -0.1% +1.9% 14%

Single -0.2% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +0.2% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.1% +0.1%

39.5% of Tomas Nido's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.1% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +5.1% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +5.4% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.9% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.1% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.6% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -2.7% -2.2%

13.6% of Tomas Nido's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.7% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.9% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +2.7% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.5% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +12.4% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -10.7% -1.6%

11.1% of Tomas Nido's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%