Matchup Machine

Taylor Ward

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

361st out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Taylor Ward

391st out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Ward
4

Model Prediction

Taylor Ward has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.0% lower than Ward's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%22.8%2.4%7.1%13.4%8.6%22.9%
Ward-2.0-0.5-0.7+1.4-1.2-1.6-0.6
Weathers+1.5+1.3+0.3+1.5-0.6+0.2-1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Taylor Ward is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Ward has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Taylor Ward has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

14.7% of Taylor Ward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.2% -2.1% 3%         Walk +1.9% -0.6% 40%         In Play -2.2% +2.7% 39%         On Base +0.7% +0.9% 31%         Hit -1.3% +1.5% 14%         Single -1.6% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.5% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years