matchup for Austin Gomber
matchup for Taylor Ward
10
Taylor Ward has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 1.2% higher than Ward's typical expectations, and 3.6% higher than batters facing Gomber.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 35.5% | 28.4% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 17.7% | 7.0% | 17.7% |
| Ward | +1.2 | +5.3 | +0.2 | +1.9 | +3.2 | -4.1 | -6.2 |
| Gomber | +3.6 | +2.4 | 0.0 | +0.6 | +1.7 | +1.2 | -0.1 |
Taylor Ward is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Ward has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Taylor Ward has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
42%
Slider (L)
21%
Kn-Curve (L)
18%
Changeup (L)
18%
9% of Austin Gomber's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Taylor Ward has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
9%
+3%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Mid Challenge
11%
0%
Weak Challenge
9%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Chaser
4%
-2%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
42% of Austin Gomber's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Taylor Ward has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Break
42%
+23%
Extreme Drop
16%
+11%
Breaking (L)
40%
+10%
15.0% of Taylor Ward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
14%
Strikeout
+0.7%
-3.2%
3%
Walk
+2.2%
-2.5%
41%
In Play
-2.9%
+5.7%
39%
On Base
+0.7%
+0.6%
31%
Hit
-1.5%
+3.1%
14%
Single
-1.7%
+1.2%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.3%
+1.6%
3%
Home Run
+1.4%
+0.3%
31.6% of Taylor Ward's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber induces Standard Grounders at a 32.4% rate, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.6%
-0.5%
34%
Standard Grounder
-2.8%
-2.0%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.5%
+0.8%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.8%
+1.4%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.2%
+0.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
+2.8%
+0.4%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.7%
-0.6%
1%
No Doubter
-0.2%
+0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
+3.2%
+1.7%
3%
Pop up
-1.0%
-1.6%
26.1% of Taylor Ward's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.8% higher than the league average. 21.9% of batted balls allowed by Austin Gomber are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.1%
-2.1%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.9%
+2.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.5%
-2.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.6%
+4.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
+1.8%
-2.4%
12.7% of Taylor Ward's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% higher than the league average. 12.1% of batted balls allowed by Austin Gomber are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-4.5%
-0.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.1%
-0.5%
8%
1 to 6°
-2.3%
-0.3%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.1%
-0.1%
15%
19 to 28°
+4.3%
+2.1%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.2%
+0.6%
7%
39 to 50°
+1.7%
+0.1%
8%
Above 50°
-1.4%
-1.1%
Taylor Ward has 3 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a double and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.60 | 0.11 | 0.54 | 0.96 | 0.533 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-06-25 | Groundout | 25% | 74% | ||
| 2023-06-25 | Single | 6% | 69% | 25% | |
| 2023-06-25 | Double | 11% | 48% | 1% | 41% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
