Matchup Machine

Taylor Ward

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

293rd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Taylor Ward

59th out of 567 (Best 11%)

Extreme advantage for Ward
10

Model Prediction

Taylor Ward has a 38.6% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 5.2% higher than Ward's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.6%28.4%3.1%5.4%19.8%10.2%19.3%
Ward+5.2+5.1+0.1-0.3+5.2+0.1-4.2
Stroman+1.0-0.5+0.4-0.4-0.5+1.5+1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Taylor Ward is worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Ward has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Taylor Ward has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.7% of Taylor Ward's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.2% -3.1% 3%         Walk +1.9% -0.8% 40%         In Play -2.2% +3.9% 39%         On Base +0.7% +3.0% 31%         Hit -1.3% +3.8% 14%         Single -1.6% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.2% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +1.5% -1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years