Matchup Machine

DJ Stewart

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matchup for Tarik Skubal

64th out of 436 (Best 15%)

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Tarik Skubal

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matchup for DJ Stewart

562nd out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Extreme advantage for Skubal
9

Model Prediction

DJ Stewart has a 23.9% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 9.1% lower than Stewart's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Skubal.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.9%17.0%1.8%3.1%12.0%6.9%37.6%
Stewart-9.1-2.2-0.7-1.1-0.4-6.8+9.2
Skubal-1.4-3.0-0.4-0.9-1.7+1.6+7.9

Handedness and Release Point

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DJ Stewart is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stewart doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. DJ Stewart has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
37%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Sinker (L)
16%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of DJ Stewart's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.2% +6.3% 2%         Walk +5.3% -3.3% 43%         In Play -9.5% -3.0% 39%         On Base -0.6% -5.6% 31%         Hit -5.8% -2.3% 14%         Single -3.7% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +1.2% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years