Matchup Machine

DJ Stewart

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matchup for Corbin Burnes

200th out of 436 (Best 47%)

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Corbin Burnes

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matchup for DJ Stewart

405th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Burnes
3

Model Prediction

DJ Stewart has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Corbin Burnes, which is 1.4% lower than Stewart's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Burnes.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%19.0%2.3%3.2%13.5%12.7%29.0%
Stewart-1.4-0.3-0.3-1.0+1.0-1.1+0.6
Burnes+1.8-2.9-0.1-1.2-1.6+4.7+5.8

Handedness and Release Point

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DJ Stewart is better vs right-handed pitching. Corbin Burnes is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stewart has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Corbin Burnes throws a Cutter 52% of the time. DJ Stewart has a B grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
52%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Slider (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Sinker (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of DJ Stewart's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Corbin Burnes strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.2% +3.2% 2%         Walk +5.3% -1.6% 43%         In Play -9.5% -1.6% 39%         On Base -0.6% -3.4% 31%         Hit -5.8% -1.8% 14%         Single -3.7% -0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% -0.2% 3%         Home Run +1.2% -0.8%

History

No History in the last 3 years