Matchup Machine

DJ Stewart

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matchup for Logan Webb

187th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for DJ Stewart

318th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Leans in favor of Stewart
1

Model Prediction

DJ Stewart has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.0% lower than Stewart's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%21.3%2.5%4.2%14.6%10.7%24.9%
Stewart-1.0+2.0-0.10.0+2.1-3.0-3.5
Webb-0.2-3.5+0.0-1.0-2.5+3.3+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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DJ Stewart is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stewart has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. DJ Stewart has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of DJ Stewart's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.2% -0.8% 2%         Walk +5.3% -2.4% 43%         In Play -9.5% +3.2% 39%         On Base -0.6% +1.6% 31%         Hit -5.8% +4.0% 14%         Single -3.7% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +1.2% -1.3%

History

DJ Stewart has 6 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual660000100.000
Expected From Contact →1.600.000.810.780.267
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-26Field Error
2024-05-26Lineout75%7%19%
2024-05-26Strikeout
2024-04-23Flyout2%19%79%
2024-04-23Groundout53%46%
2024-04-23Flyout3%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.