Matchup Machine

DJ Stewart

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matchup for Dakota Hudson

415th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

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Dakota Hudson

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matchup for DJ Stewart

1st out of 567 (Best 1%)

Extreme advantage for Stewart
10

Model Prediction

DJ Stewart has a 43.6% chance of reaching base vs Dakota Hudson, which is 10.6% higher than Stewart's typical expectations, and 6.5% higher than batters facing Hudson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction43.6%22.2%2.7%5.4%14.1%21.4%13.9%
Stewart+10.6+3.0+0.1+1.2+1.7+7.7-14.5
Hudson+6.5-3.0+0.1-0.4-2.6+9.4+1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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DJ Stewart is better vs right-handed pitching. Dakota Hudson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Stewart has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dakota Hudson throws a Sinker 41% of the time. DJ Stewart has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
41%
   Slider (R)
26%
   4-Seam (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of DJ Stewart's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Dakota Hudson strikes out 10.3% of the batters he faces, which is 7.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.2% -7.7% 2%         Walk +5.3% +3.2% 43%         In Play -9.5% +4.5% 39%         On Base -0.6% +4.9% 31%         Hit -5.8% +1.7% 14%         Single -3.7% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +1.2% -1.0%

History

DJ Stewart has 2 plate appearances against Dakota Hudson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →1.040.910.040.100.521
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-20Flyout91%3%7%
2023-08-20GIDP1%9%89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.