Matchup Machine

DJ Stewart

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matchup for Miles Mikolas

182nd out of 436 (Best 43%)

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Miles Mikolas

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matchup for DJ Stewart

176th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Moderate advantage for Stewart
5

Model Prediction

DJ Stewart has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 1.1% lower than Stewart's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Mikolas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%25.7%3.3%6.2%16.2%6.2%23.8%
Stewart-1.1+6.4+0.7+2.0+3.7-7.5-4.6
Mikolas-0.3-2.40.0-0.3-2.1+2.1+3.2

Handedness and Release Point

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DJ Stewart is better vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Stewart has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. DJ Stewart has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
27%
   Slider (R)
26%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of DJ Stewart's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.2% -3.3% 2%         Walk +5.3% -3.9% 43%         In Play -9.5% +7.2% 39%         On Base -0.6% -0.6% 31%         Hit -5.8% +3.3% 14%         Single -3.7% +1.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% +1.8% 3%         Home Run +1.2% +0.0%

History

DJ Stewart has 4 plate appearances against Miles Mikolas in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441100200.250
Expected From Contact →1.010.990.020.000.253
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-07Strikeout
2024-05-07Flyout1%99%
2023-08-19Home Run99%
2023-08-19Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.