Matchup Machine

DJ Stewart

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matchup for Martin Perez

129th out of 436 (Best 30%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for DJ Stewart

148th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Strong advantage for Stewart
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Model Prediction

DJ Stewart has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 2.1% higher than Stewart's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.1%21.8%2.5%4.5%14.7%13.3%21.3%
Stewart+2.1+2.50.0+0.3+2.3-0.4-7.1
Perez+0.4-3.6-0.5-0.8-2.2+4.0+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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DJ Stewart is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Stewart doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. DJ Stewart hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

17.1% of DJ Stewart's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +4.2% -6.1% 2%         Walk +5.3% -0.3% 43%         In Play -9.5% +6.4% 39%         On Base -0.6% +5.9% 31%         Hit -5.8% +6.3% 14%         Single -3.7% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +1.2% -0.6%

History

DJ Stewart has 2 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.030.000.000.030.015
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-30Groundout3%97%
2023-08-28Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.