Matchup Machine

Edwin Rios

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matchup for Chris Paddack

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Chris Paddack

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matchup for Edwin Rios

253rd out of 567 (Best 45%)

Moderate advantage for Paddack
5

Model Prediction

Edwin Rios has a 26.9% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 1.0% lower than Rios's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Paddack.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.9%20.7%3.7%5.2%11.8%6.3%36.7%
Rios-1.0+2.1+0.7+0.7+0.7-3.1-1.1
Paddack-3.3-3.1+0.3-0.5-2.9-0.2+14.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Edwin Rios is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rios has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Edwin Rios has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Changeup (R)
28%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

24.7% of Edwin Rios's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +11.7% +4.3% 5%         Walk +1.4% -3.2% 50%         In Play -13.1% -1.1% 39%         On Base -4.9% -3.8% 31%         Hit -6.3% -0.6% 14%         Single -4.9% -0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -4.5% -0.1% 3%         Home Run +3.1% +0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years