Matchup Machine

Edwin Rios

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Edwin Rios

123rd out of 567 (Best 23%)

Leans in favor of Flaherty
1

Model Prediction

Edwin Rios has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.8% higher than Rios's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%19.9%3.9%4.7%11.3%10.9%35.5%
Rios+2.8+1.3+0.9+0.2+0.2+1.5-2.2
Flaherty-3.5-3.4+0.3-0.5-3.2-0.1+12.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Edwin Rios is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Rios has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Edwin Rios has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

24.7% of Edwin Rios's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +11.7% +5.8% 5%         Walk +1.4% -1.5% 50%         In Play -13.1% -4.3% 39%         On Base -4.9% -2.0% 31%         Hit -6.3% -0.5% 14%         Single -4.9% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -4.5% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +3.1% -0.2%

History

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