Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Byron Buxton

matchup for Chris Paddack

150th out of 436 (Best 35%)

Chris Paddack

matchup for Byron Buxton

372nd out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Leans in favor of Buxton

Byron Buxton has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 3.3% lower than Buxton's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Paddack.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.4%	21.6%	4.7%	5.0%	11.8%	5.8%	27.2%
Buxton	-3.3	-0.6	+1.0	-0.1	-1.6	-2.7	-0.7
Paddack	-2.8	-2.1	+1.4	-0.6	-2.9	-0.7	+4.9

Byron Buxton is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Buxton has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Byron Buxton has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Changeup (R)

28%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Byron Buxton has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

43% of Chris Paddack's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Byron Buxton has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Offspeed (R) 28%

+16%

Fast Velo 26%

+10%

16.3% of Byron Buxton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.8% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.8% +4.3% 5%

Walk -2.9% -3.2% 40%

In Play +0.0% -1.1% 39%

On Base -4.1% -3.8% 31%

Hit -1.2% -0.6% 14%

Single -2.9% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -2.5% -0.1% 3%

Home Run +4.2% +0.0%

28.6% of Byron Buxton's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack induces Standard Grounders at a 29.0% rate, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.8% -5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.7% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.4% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner +1.5% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.9% 1%

No Doubter +2.4% +0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +0.3% 3%

Pop up +1.5% +0.3%

29.0% of Byron Buxton's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.7% higher than the league average. 30.1% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.7% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.5% -2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.1% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.7% +5.8%

10.8% of Byron Buxton's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Chris Paddack are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%