Matchup Machine

Byron Buxton

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

260th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Byron Buxton

348th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Buxton
1

Model Prediction

Byron Buxton has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.8% higher than Buxton's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%20.5%3.7%4.2%12.6%11.0%30.9%
Buxton+0.8-1.7-0.1-0.9-0.8+2.5+3.0
Schmidt-0.5+0.9+1.3+0.2-0.5-1.4+5.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Byron Buxton is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Buxton has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Byron Buxton has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

16.3% of Byron Buxton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.8% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.8% +0.3% 5%         Walk -2.9% +1.6% 40%         In Play +0.0% -1.9% 39%         On Base -4.1% -0.3% 31%         Hit -1.2% -2.0% 14%         Single -2.9% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -2.5% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +4.2% 0.0%

History

Byron Buxton has 1 plate appearance against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-06-08Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.