Matchup Machine

Byron Buxton

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matchup for Jalen Beeks

371st out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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Jalen Beeks

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matchup for Byron Buxton

69th out of 567 (Best 13%)

Strong advantage for Buxton
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Model Prediction

Byron Buxton has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Jalen Beeks, which is 2.2% higher than Buxton's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Beeks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.9%24.7%4.8%5.2%14.8%8.1%20.5%
Buxton+2.2+2.5+1.0+0.1+1.4-0.3-7.4
Beeks-0.5+0.6+2.3+0.3-2.0-1.2+2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Byron Buxton is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Jalen Beeks is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Buxton has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jalen Beeks throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Byron Buxton has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Changeup (L)
34%
   Cutter (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

16.3% of Byron Buxton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.8% higher than the league average. Jalen Beeks strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.8% -2.5% 5%         Walk -2.9% -0.1% 40%         In Play +0.0% +2.6% 39%         On Base -4.1% +0.4% 31%         Hit -1.2% +0.5% 14%         Single -2.9% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -2.5% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +4.2% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years