Matchup Machine

Byron Buxton

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matchup for Max Fried

242nd out of 436 (Worst 45%)

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Max Fried

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matchup for Byron Buxton

360th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Leans in favor of Buxton
1

Model Prediction

Byron Buxton has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Max Fried, which is 0.3% higher than Buxton's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Fried.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%22.8%3.1%5.0%14.7%8.3%29.5%
Buxton+0.3+0.5-0.6-0.1+1.3-0.2+1.7
Fried-1.3-0.4+1.0+0.4-1.8-1.0+3.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Byron Buxton is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Max Fried is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Buxton has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Max Fried throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Byron Buxton has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
35%
   Curve (L)
23%
   Slider (L)
17%
   Sinker (L)
13%
   Changeup (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

16.3% of Byron Buxton's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.8% higher than the league average. Max Fried strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.8% +3.0% 5%         Walk -2.9% -1.8% 40%         In Play +0.0% -1.2% 39%         On Base -4.1% +0.3% 31%         Hit -1.2% +2.0% 14%         Single -2.9% +1.7% 13%         2B / 3B -2.5% +1.7% 3%         Home Run +4.2% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years