Matchup Machine

      Carlos Correa

      sometext

      matchup for Garrett Crochet

      364th out of 436 (Worst 17%)

      sometext

      Garrett Crochet

      sometext

      matchup for Carlos Correa

      527th out of 564 (Worst 7%)

      Leans in favor of Crochet
      2

      Model Prediction

      Carlos Correa has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 5.6% lower than Correa's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Crochet.

      Handedness and Release Point

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Carlos Correa is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Correa has an A grade vs this particular release point.

      Left Arrow
      Show Vertical Release

      On the Way to the Plate

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Carlos Correa has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      58%
         Cutter (L)
      18%
         Slider (L)
      16%
         Changeup (L)
      6%

      Contact and Outcomes

      10.2% of Carlos Correa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.4% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.2% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.4% +9.4% 3%         Walk +2.2% -1.3% 37%         In Play +5.1% -8.1% 39%         On Base +7.7% -3.9% 31%         Hit +5.5% -2.6% 14%         Single +2.0% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +2.2% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.3% 0.0%

      History

      Carlos Correa has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual220000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.260.000.010.260.131
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-29Groundout4%96%
      2024-04-29Groundout22%78%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.